If An AI Decided The Countdown - Week Of Feb 1, 2025

 

Hey guys! So Daniel suggested this and I thought it would be a great idea. Basically what I did was, I fed last week's countdown and this week's airplay update into the latest DeepSeek reasoning model and told it to predict this week's countdown. And these are the results. I might end up making this a weekly series because it's a good way to predict the countdown and see how accurate, or wildly inaccurate, the AI really is.

Exits:

• Hayes Warner - Oh! [#30] {1w} PK: 30
• Megan Moroney - Am I Okay? [#28] {1w} PK: 28
• David Guetta/Alphaville/Ava Max - Forever Young [#26; 2nd time] {8w} PK: 11
• Alex Warren/Joe Jonas - Burning Down [#19] {12w} PK: 14
• Gracie Abrams - I Love You, I'm Sorry [#12] {7w} PK: 11

Last week's #1 song: ROSÉ/Bruno Mars - APT. [3 weeks at #1]

30. Crash Adams - Optimist [Debut] {1w} PK: 30

29. Benson Boone - Beautiful Things [Reentry] {23w} [2 weeks at #1]

28. Griff - last night's mascara [Debut] {1w} PK: 28

27. Teddy Swims - Guilty [Debut] {1w} PK: 27

26. Tate McRae - Sports car [Debut] {1w} PK: 26

25. Kendrick Lamar/SZA - luther [+4] {9w} PK: 23

24. The Weeknd/Playboi Carti - Timeless [+3] {3w} PK: 24

23. Vella - All My Love [+2] {2w} PK: 23

22. Myles Smith - Nice To Meet You [+2] {2w} PK: 22

21. RAYE - Oscar Winning Tears. [+2] {2w} PK: 21

20. SZA - BMF [+2] {3w} PK: 20

19. Lola Young - Messy [+2] {3w} PK: 19

18. Ariana Grande - Popular [+2] {9w} PK: 9

17. Addison Rae - Diet Pepsi [+1] {20w} PK: 17

16. Morgan Wallen - Love Somebody [+1] {14w} PK: 14

15. Charli XCX - Apple [+1] {25w} PK: 11

14. Cynthia Erivo/Ariana Grande - Defying Gravity [+1] {9w} PK: 14

13. Damiano David - Born With A Broken Heart [+1] {14w} PK: 13

12. Gigi Perez - Sailor Song [+1] {13w} PK: 11

11. Sabrina Carpenter - Taste [=] {23w} [5 weeks at #1]

10. Myles Smith - Stargazing [-4] {27w} PK: 4

9. Billie Eilish - BIRDS OF A FEATHER [-2] {35w} [3 weeks at #1]

8. LISA - Moonlit Floor [+1] {14w} PK: 8

7. Teddy Swims - Bad Dreams [+1] {7w} PK: 7

6. Shaboozey - Good News [+4] {11w} PK: 6

5. Gracie Abrams - That's So True [=] {11w} PK: 5

4. Sabrina Carpenter - Bed Chem [=] {7w} PK: 4

3. Chappell Roan - Pink Pony Club [=] {11w} PK: 3

2. Lady Gaga/Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile [=] {24w} [4 weeks at #1]

1. ROSÉ/Bruno Mars - APT. [=] {15w} [4 weeks at #1]

AI's thoughts:

• Shaboozey - Good News surges into the Top 10 (+4) after strong airplay.
• Teddy Swims earns another entry with Guilty debuting at #27.
• Tate McRae returns to the chart with Sports car (#26) following exits of her previous tracks.
• SZA - BMF and Lola Young - Messy continue climbing into the Top 20.
• ROSÉ/Bruno Mars hold #1 for a fourth week with APT., fending off competition from Lady Gaga/Bruno Mars.
• Benson Boone - Beautiful Things (#29) and Crash Adams - Optimist (#30) enter with moderate airplay.
• Griff - last night's mascara (#28) capitalizes on streaming momentum.
• This prediction balances airplay data, chart stability, and typical entry patterns for new releases.

My thoughts:

• Um, why did it have Beautiful Things randomly reenter?
• The rest of the debuts actually make sense.
• Popular and Defying Gravity didn't have any spins. Why did they stay on?
• Not a lot of movements. The biggest drop and jump was only 4.

Prediction score:

It's time to see how many songs the AI correctly predicted the positions for.

The only debuts it got correct were Guilty and Sports car, but not at the correct positions. It didn't get a single exit correct.

It correctly guessed the positions for BMF, Stargazing, Good News, Pink Pony Club, Die With A Smile, and APT.

It gets one point for each correct position, and I'll give half a point each for correctly predicting the debut of Guilty and Sports car.

Total score: 7/30. Oof, guess AI won't be taking over countdown duties anytime soon.

That's all for now. I might end up making this a weekly series before the countdown airs if this gets enough popularity and I have the time/energy to do it. See you tomorrow for my actual non-AI countdown post!