Saturday, February 8, 2025

If the Countdown Was Still 45 Songs - Week of Feb 8, 2025

If the countdown was still 45 songs, based off airplay and my own personal opinion.


Before we get to this week's fresh 45, let's say goodbye to the songs leaving the countdown:

  • Teddy Swims - The Door [#45] {42w} PK: 3
  • Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) [#41] {39w} [3 weeks at #1]
  • Tate McRae - It's ok I'm ok [#36] {20w} PK: 13
  • Alex Warren - Carry You Home [#32] {28w} PK: 8
  • Myles Smith - Nice To Meet You [#19] {4w} PK: 19


Last week's #1 song: ROSÉ/Bruno Mars - APT. [4 weeks at #1]

45. Charli XCX - Apple [-32] {26w} PK: 11

44. ROSÉ - toxic till the end [=] {3w} PK: 39

43. Lady Gaga - Disease [-4] {15w} PK: 4

42. Griff - last night's mascara [-8] {3w} PK: 34

41. Dasha - Austin [+1] {46w} PK: 6

40. Gracie Abrams - Close To You [-5] {33w} PK: 2

39. Marshmello/Kane Brown - Miles On It [-1] {36w} PK: 7

38. Post Malone/Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help [+5] {39w} [3 weeks at #1]

37. Crash Adams - Optimist [=] {2w} PK: 37

36. Hozier - Too Sweet [+4] {45w} [6 weeks at #1]

35. Benson Boone - Beautiful Things [-2] {45w} [2 weeks at #1]

34. Knox - Pick Your Poison [Debut] {1w} PK: 34

33. Vella - All My Love [-2] {3w} PK: 25

32. Myles Smith - Stargazing [-22] {28w} PK: 4

31. Teddy Swims - Guilty [-3] {2w} PK: 28

30. Kendrick Lamar - squabble up [Debut] {1w} PK: 30

29. Hayes Warner - Oh! [=] {3w} PK: 29

28. The Weeknd/Playboi Carti - Timeless [-2] {4w} PK: 26

27. Tate McRae - Sports car [=] {2w} PK: 27

26. Marshmello/Jonas Brothers - Slow Motion [+4] {2w} PK: 26

25. Sexyy Red/Bruno Mars - Fat Juicy & Wet [Debut] {1w} PK: 25

24. Lady Gaga - Abracadabra [Debut] {1w} PK: 24

23. Megan Moroney - Am I Okay? [=] {3w} PK: 23

22. Kendrick Lamar/SZA - luther [+2] {10w} PK: 22

21. RAYE - Oscar Winning Tears. [+4] {3w} PK: 21

20. The Weeknd - Cry For Me [Debut] {1w} PK: 20

19. Morgan Wallen - Love Somebody [-7] {15w} PK: 12

18. Addison Rae - Diet Pepsi [+4] {21w} PK: 18

17. Gigi Perez - Sailor Song [-1] {14w} PK: 11

16. SZA - BMF [+4] {4w} PK: 16

15. Damiano David - Born With A Broken Heart [+2] {15w} PK: 14

14. Lola Young - Messy [+7] {4w} PK: 14

13. LISA - Moonlit Floor [+2] {15w} PK: 9

12. Alex Warren/Joe Jonas - Burning Down [+2] {14w} PK: 12

11. David Guetta/Alphaville/Ava Max - Forever Young [+7] {10w} PK: 11

10. Gracie Abrams - I Love You, I'm Sorry [+1] {9w} PK: 10

9. Sabrina Carpenter - Taste [=] {24w} [5 weeks at #1]

8. Teddy Swims - Bad Dreams [=] {8w} PK: 8

7. Billie Eilish - BIRDS OF A FEATHER [=] {36w} [3 weeks at #1]

6. Shaboozey - Good News [=] {12w} PK: 6

5. Gracie Abrams - That's So True [-1] {12w} PK: 4

4. Sabrina Carpenter - Bed Chem [+1] {8w} PK: 3

3. Lady Gaga/Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile [-1] {25w} [4 weeks at #1]

2. Chappell Roan - Pink Pony Club [+1] {12w} PK: 2

1. ROSÉ/Bruno Mars - APT. [=] {16w} [5 weeks at #1]


Biggest Jump Of The Week: Tie between Lola Young - Messy and David Guetta/Alphaville/Ava Max - Forever Young [+7]

Biggest DRRRRRRROP!!! Of The Week: Charli XCX - Apple [-32]


5 Oldest Songs

  1. Dasha - Austin {46w}
  2. Tie between Hozier - Too Sweet and Benson Boone - Beautiful Things {45w}
  3. Post Malone/Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help {39w}
  4. Tie between Marshmello/Kane Brown - Miles On It and Billie Eilish - BIRDS OF A FEATHER {36w}
  5. Gracie Abrams - Close To You {33w}

Friday, February 7, 2025

If An AI Decided The Countdown - Week Of Feb 8, 2025

 


Hey guys! From now on, I'm gonna use the previous week's real countdown as a basis for the AI posts. That way I can get a prediction score each week.


If an AI decided the countdown, based off airplay and the latest AI reasoning model.


Exits:

Marshmello/Jonas Brothers - Slow Motion [#30] {1w} PK: 30

Tate McRae - Sports car [#27] {1w} PK: 27

Addison Rae - Diet Pepsi [#22] {20w} PK: 18

Myles Smith - Stargazing [#10; 2nd time] {27w} PK: 4


Last week's #1 song: ROSÉ/Bruno Mars - APT. [4 weeks at #1]

30: Sexyy Red/Bruno Mars - Fat Juicy & Wet [Debut] {1w} PK: 30

29: Dua Lipa - Houdini [Reentry] {23w} [8 weeks at #1]

28: Teddy Swims - Guilty [+1] {2w} PK: 28

27: Griff - last night's mascara [Debut] {1w} PK: 27

26: Hayes Warner - Oh! [+3] {3w} PK: 26

25: The Weeknd/Playboi Carti - Timeless [+1] {4w} PK: 25

24: Charli XCX - Apple [-11] {26w} PK: 11

23: RAYE - Oscar Winning Tears. [+2] {3w} PK: 23

22: Lola Young - Messy [-1] {4w} PK: 21

21: Benson Boone - Beautiful Things [Reentry] {23w} [2 weeks at #1]

20: Megan Moroney - Am I Okay? [+3] {3w} PK: 20

19: Kendrick Lamar/SZA - luther [+5] {10w} PK: 19

18: LISA - Moonlit Floor [-3] {15w} PK: 9

17: Gigi Perez - Sailor Song [-1] {14w} PK: 11

16: Damiano David - Born With A Broken Heart [+1] {15w} PK: 14

15: Alex Warren/Joe Jonas - Burning Down [-1] {14w} PK: 14

14: David Guetta/Alphaville/Ava Max - Forever Young [+4] {10w} PK: 11

13: Myles Smith - Nice To Meet You [+6] {3w} PK: 13

12: Gracie Abrams - I Love You, I'm Sorry [-1] {9w} PK: 11

11: Morgan Wallen - Love Somebody [+1] {15w} PK: 11

10: Sabrina Carpenter - Taste [-1] {24w} [5 weeks at #1]

9: SZA - BMF [+11] {4w} PK: 9

8: Billie Eilish - BIRDS OF A FEATHER [-1] {36w} [3 weeks at #1]

7: Chappell Roan - Pink Pony Club [-4] {12w} PK: 3

6: Gracie Abrams - That's So True [-2] {12w} PK: 4

5: Lady Gaga/Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile [-3] {25w} [4 weeks at #1]

4: Shaboozey - Good News [+2] {12w} PK: 4 

3: Teddy Swims - Bad Dreams [+5] {8w} PK: 3

2: Sabrina Carpenter - Bed Chem [+3] {8w} PK: 2

1: ROSÉ/Bruno Mars - APT. [=] {16w} [5 weeks at #1]


Biggest Jump Of The Week: SZA - BMF [+11]

Biggest DRRRRRRROP!!! Of The Week: Charli XCX - Apple [-11] 


AI's thoughts:


  • Benson Boone - Beautiful Things, Griff - last night's mascara, Dua Lipa - Houdini, and Sexyy Red & Bruno Mars - Fat Juicy & are the new entries, bringing fresh songs to the chart. The range of debut positions (#21 to #30) indicates different levels of initial momentum. Dua Lipa's "Houdini" debuting at #29 suggests a slower burn for a bigger artist, while Sexyy Red/Bruno Mars enters at #30, possibly indicating initial curiosity value.
  • Addison Rae - Diet Pepsi and Marshmello/Jonas Brothers - Slow Motion are gone from the Top 30, creating space for the debuts and upward movement of other songs. This is a much cleaner and more logical chart progression.
  • SZA - BMF, Sabrina Carpenter - Bed Chem, and Teddy Swims - Bad Dreams still lead the upward movement in the top 10.
  • Top songs like Lady Gaga/Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile, Chappell Roan - Pink Pony Club, and Gracie Abrams - That's So True experience gentle declines, which is natural chart behavior.
  • Diverse Debuts: The debuts range from established global stars (Dua Lipa) to rising artists (Benson Boone, Griff) and viral/collaborative tracks (Sexyy Red/Bruno Mars), showcasing the variety of paths to chart entry.
  • Consistent Top Performers: The top of the chart remains consistent with the strongest songs maintaining their positions.
  • Bottom Chart Dynamics: The bottom of the chart is now more clearly showing churn, with songs entering and exiting, reflecting the competitive nature of those positions.


My thoughts:

  • Um, Beautiful Things and Houdini are not "new and exiting" songs.
  • Slow Motion and Sports car leaving does not make sense at all.
  • Fat Juicy & Wet probably won't debut tomorrow but it would be so hilarious if it did.


Final prediction score:

  • It correctly guessed Stargazing's exit.
  • It correctly guessed Fat Juicy & Wet's debut, but not the correct spot, so it gets half a point
  • It correctly guessed the correct spots for Sailor Song and APT.
  • It did not correctly guess the biggest jump or drop of the week.

Final score: 3.5/30. Oof, that's even worse than last week


Ethan's Top 10 - Tom Grennan (1) - Feb 7, 2025

 


https://www.crownnote.com/charts/zestpond/ethans-top-10-feb-7-2025


Ah, hell, I'm shadowboxing myself


Exits:

  • Cheat Codes - Don't Leave (#5)
  • Papa Roach - Even If It Kills Me (#6)
  • teamwork./Kiiara/American Authors - Love & Drugs (#8)
  • Franz Ferdinand - Hooked (#10) (1 week at #1)


Last week's #1 song: Kygo/OneRepublic - Chasing Paradise (1 week at #1)

10: EMELINE - 99 boys (-7)

9: Porter Robinson - Cheerleader (-7) (1 week at #1)

8: JENNIE/Dominic Fike - Love Hangover (Debut)


Throwback Pick: Kara's Flowers (Maroon 5) - Soap Disco (1997)


7: Robin Schulz/CYRIL/Sam Martin - World Gone Wild (Debut)

6: R3HAB/Mufasa & Hypeman/RANI - Believe (Shooting Stars) (Debut)


Throwback Pick: Big Gigantic/Logic/ROZES - All of Me (2016)


5: Bowling for Soup - The Rock Show (Debut)

4: Tate McRae - Sports car (+5)


Throwback Pick: 009 Sound System - Dreamscape (2009)


3: Kygo/OneRepublic - Chasing Paradise (-2) (1 week at #1)

2: Vella - All My Love (+2)

1: Tom Grennan - Shadowboxing (+6) (1 week at #1)


Bubbling Under:

  • Lady Gaga - Abracadabra
  • Sexyy Red/Bruno Mars - Fat Juicy & Wet
  • Doechii - DENIAL IS A RIVER
  • Yung Gravy/James Brown - SUPA GOOD!!!


Last year's top 5: 

  1. AJR - Inertia (=) (2/2 weeks at #1)
  2. Jung Kook/USHER - Standing Next To You (+1) (0/4 weeks at #1)
  3. Henry Moodie - pick up the phone (+4)
  4. Ariana Grande - yes, and? (=)
  5. Tyga - Bops Goin Brazy (+1)


Last year's debuts: 

  • People R Ugly - BRAIN DEAD (#6) (reentry)
  • Benson Boone - Beautiful Things (#7)
  • BOYS LIKE GIRLS - MIRACLE (#8)
  • Feature Records/Locksley/Cool Matt - Believe (#9)
  • Diplo/Jessie Murph/Polo G - Heartbroken (#10)


Tuesday, February 4, 2025

Video - AJR US Pop Radio Fantasy Chart History



Hey guys! I haven't made a chart history video in over a year and Daniel suggested I make one with AJR, who are one of my favorite bands of all time so I figured why not make a new one. This is AJR fantasy radio chart history if they weren't underrated, using chart data that I made up. There's a few more artists I want to make videos for, so you might see more in the future. Enjoy! 

Saturday, February 1, 2025

ROSÉ/Bruno Mars (4) - Week of Feb 1, 2025

 


Hey guys! This was a pretty good week, except we had something very strange happen in hitbound that hasn't happened since 2022, which I will get into later. 

Before we get to this week's fresh 30, let's say goodbye to the songs leaving the countdown: 

  • Vella - All My Love [#25] {1w} PK: 25
  • Ariana Grande - Popular [#20] {8w} PK: 9
  • Cynthia Erivo/Ariana Grande - Defying Gravity [#15] {8w} PK: 15


Last week's #1 song: ROSÉ/Bruno Mars - APT. [3 weeks at #1]

30. Marshmello/Jonas Brothers - Slow Motion [Debut] {1w} PK: 30

29. Hayes Warner - Oh! [+1] {2w} PK: 29

28. Teddy Swims - Guilty [Debut] {1w} PK: 28

27. Tate McRae - Sports car [Debut] {1w} PK: 27

26. The Weeknd/Playboi Carti - Timeless [+1] {3w} PK: 26

25. RAYE - Oscar Winning Tears. [-2] {2w} PK: 23

24. Kendrick Lamar/SZA - luther [+5] {9w} PK: 23

23. Megan Moroney - Am I Okay? [+5] {2w} PK: 23

22. Addison Rae - Diet Pepsi [-4] {20w} PK: 18

21. Lola Young - Messy [=] {3w} PK: 21

20. SZA - BMF [+2] {3w} PK: 20

19. Myles Smith - Nice To Meet You [+5] {2w} PK: 19

18. David Guetta/Alphaville/Ava Max - Forever Young [+8] {9w} PK: 11

17. Damiano David - Born With A Broken Heart [-3] {14w} PK: 14

16. Gigi Perez - Sailor Song [-3] {13w} PK: 11

15. LISA - Moonlit Floor [-6] {14w} PK: 9

14. Alex Warren/Joe Jonas - Burning Down [+5] {13w} PK: 14

13. Charli XCX - Apple [+3] {25w} PK: 11

12. Morgan Wallen - Love Somebody [+5] {14w} PK: 12

11. Gracie Abrams - I Love You, I'm Sorry [+1] {8w} PK: 11

10. Myles Smith - Stargazing [-4] {27w} PK: 4

9. Sabrina Carpenter - Taste [+2] {23w} [5 weeks at #1]

8. Teddy Swims - Bad Dreams [=] {7w} PK: 8

7. Billie Eilish - BIRDS OF A FEATHER [=] {35w} [3 weeks at #1]

6. Shaboozey - Good News [+4] {11w} PK: 6

5. Sabrina Carpenter - Bed Chem [-1] {7w} PK: 3

4. Gracie Abrams - That's So True [+1] {11w} PK: 4

3. Chappell Roan - Pink Pony Club [=] {11w} PK: 3

2. Lady Gaga/Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile [=] {24w} [4 weeks at #1]

1. ROSÉ/Bruno Mars - APT. [=] {15w} [4 weeks at #1]


Debuts: 

Marshmello and the Jonas Brothers collab for a second time since Leave Before You Love Me in 2021 with Slow Motion. This is a decent EDM song, the Jonas Brothers sound good, but this is very forgettable.

Teddy Swims brings his second song on the countdown with Guilty. This is slightly better than Bad Dreams. This is a lot more fun and Teddy sounds great.

Tate McRae is back with Sports car. This is a great song, but it might not be as great as I first thought it was. I can already tell this is gonna get as annoying as it's ok i'm ok and 2 hands were. 


Countdown Extra: Knox - Pick Your Poison

Biggest Jump Of The Week: David Guetta/Alphaville/Ava Max - Forever Young [+8]

Biggest DRRRRRRROP!!! Of The Week: LISA - Moonlit Floor [-6]

Last year's #1 song: Dua Lipa - Houdini (1/8 weeks at #1)

Favorite song last year: People R Ugly - Brain Dead

Least favorite song last year: Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me

Most missed song: Katy Perry/Skip Marley - Chained To The Rhythm (2017)

Recommendation for Hits 1: Tom Grennan - Shadowboxing


5 Oldest Songs

  1. Billie Eilish - BIRDS OF A FEATHER {35w}
  2. Myles Smith - Stargazing {27w}
  3. Charli XCX - Apple {25w}
  4. Lady Gaga/Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile {24w}
  5. Sabrina Carpenter - Taste {23w}


Hitbound

Alessi Rose - IKYK [3]

The Weeknd - Cry For Me [Debut]

Crash Adams - Optimist [9]

JENNIE/Dominic Fike - Love Hangover [Debut]

Nessa Barrett - LOVE LOOKS PRETTY ON YOU [Debut]

Morgan Wallen - I'm The Problem [Debut]

Sexyy Red/Bruno Mars - Fat Juicy & Wet [2]

Vella - All My Love [3] [Reentry?]

Kesha - Dear Me [2]

Knox - Pick Your Poison [2]

Kendrick Lamar - squabble up [Debut]

Lauren Spencer Smith - Pray [2]

Djo - Basic Being Basic [2]

Kane Brown/Katelyn Brown - Body Talk [Debut]

TWICE/Megan Thee Stallion - Strategy [8]

Willow Avalon - Baby Blue [3]


Something very strange has happened in hitbound that hasn't happened since 2022 and is only the second time this has happened as far as I know. All My Love left the countdown and reentered hitbound. That in itself isn't strange because songs did that all the time in 2020 and 2021. But All My Love Sunday Bested last week, so it technically never reentered hitbound. The only other song this has happened to was Until I Found You in 2022, when it also left the countdown and reentered hitbound while it was still a Sunday Best.

The Weeknd released his new album Hurry Up Tomorrow, and here he is with Cry For Me. This is fine but kinda forgettable.

JENNIE collabed with everyone's favorite cricket master Dominic Fike with Love Hangover. This is a very strange and weird song, but it kinda slaps, especially in the last minute.

Hits 1 can we please stop picking up on every Nessa Barrett song? LOVE LOOKS PRETTY ON YOU is yet another boring forgettable song from her.

Morgan Wallen replaces himself with I'm The Problem. This is slightly better with Smile, at least this song has a beat, but this is very forgettable.

Hits 1 is very late with picking up on these next 2 songs. Kendrick Lamar is here with squabble up. This is kinda fun, I guess, but this seems very annoying.

Kane Brown and his wife Katelyn collab for a second time with Body Talk. This is a lot better than Thank God. The production is pretty cool and they both sound great together.


Exits:

Griff - last night's mascara [12]

Tyla - PUSH 2 START [2]

SZA - Drive [6]

Morgan Wallen - Smile [3]


last night's mascara finds itself in the abyss, PUSH 2 START was mid, and good riddance to Drive and Smile which sucked.


2025 Total Dropouts: 22

Estimated total for 2025: 143 (+2)


Abyss

Griff - last night's mascara

ROSÉ - toxic till the end

The Marías - No One Noticed

JENNIE - Mantra

Lady Gaga - Disease

Akon - Akon's Beautiful Day

Harry Styles - Daylight


Blurb hangover:

We lost All My Love, Popular, and Defying Gravity. Defying Gravity was mid, Popular was great but was getting old, and RIP to All My Love which became a one week wonder right when it was starting to grow on me. Hopefully it comes back.

Burning Down didn't receive a single spin this week. Why did it jump 5 spots?

Why is Apple still jumping? Brat summer ended 6 months ago.

BIRDS OF A FEATHER still refuses to go away.

Why is Good News almost in the top 5? It's not doing that well on pop radio.

Bed Chem dropped a spot. We might be spared from getting more Sabrina Flopenter at #1.

That's all for now, see you all next week!


Poll of the week results:

Best Debut?

  1. Myles Smith - Nice To Meet You: 28.57 % (4 votes)
  2. RAYE - Oscar Winning Tears.: 28.57 % (4 votes)
  3. Hayes Warner - Oh!: 21.43 % (3 votes)
  4. Megan Moroney - Am I Okay?: 21.43 % (3 votes)

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